Retail inflation cools down but October RBI rate hike imminent: SBI report
Thursday - September 13, 2018 12:12 am ,
Category : BUSINESS
Retail inflation cools down but October RBI rate hike imminent: SBI report
Mumbai Sep 13 (IANS) Even as the country s retail inflation cooled off in August an October rate hike by the Reserve bank of India (RBI) is imminent a SBI Ecowrap report said on Wednesday.
"Even though CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation has cooled off we believe October rate hike of 25 bps is imminent but the question is whether the magnitude of rate hike could be even higher by 25 bps (say 50 bps) " the report said.
"A currency crisis by logic calls for a bigger rate intervention but given that RBI is now an inflation targeting central bank it will be really difficult to justify such action with inflation numbers continuing to be in 4-4.7 per cent range through current fiscal with the downside at sub 3.5 per cent in November 2018. Clearly the RBI is now caught between Scylla and Charybdis!"
According to the data furnished by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) lower food prices eased India s August retail inflation to 3.69 per cent from 4.17 per cent in July.
However on a year-on-year (YoY) basis the CPI in August 2018 was higher than in the corresponding period last year when it stood at 3.28 per cent.
--IANS rv/nir
"Even though CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation has cooled off we believe October rate hike of 25 bps is imminent but the question is whether the magnitude of rate hike could be even higher by 25 bps (say 50 bps) " the report said.
"A currency crisis by logic calls for a bigger rate intervention but given that RBI is now an inflation targeting central bank it will be really difficult to justify such action with inflation numbers continuing to be in 4-4.7 per cent range through current fiscal with the downside at sub 3.5 per cent in November 2018. Clearly the RBI is now caught between Scylla and Charybdis!"
According to the data furnished by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) lower food prices eased India s August retail inflation to 3.69 per cent from 4.17 per cent in July.
However on a year-on-year (YoY) basis the CPI in August 2018 was higher than in the corresponding period last year when it stood at 3.28 per cent.
--IANS rv/nir
