A report claims; After May 15, the effect of the Coronavirus infection to decrease in India
If the lockdown strictly followed, you can get freedom from the Coronavirus epidemic soon.
APRIL 23 (WTN) - As you know, the Coronavirus infection is the biggest challenge facing human civilization at this time. The disease of the Coronavirus infection to have originated and spread from Wuhan city of China has infected people from more than 200 countries. At the time of writing this article, so far, 1,85,156 people have died across the world due to the Coronavirus infection. As far as India is concerned, for your information, let us know that 681 people have died in India due to the Coronavirus infection so far.
For your information, let us know that due to the foresight and the strategy of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the Coronavirus infection is much less than other countries in India. A large extent control over the Coronavirus infection epidemic has become possible due to the lockdown in India. At the moment, while research on the vaccine of the Coronavirus infection disease continues, only the lockdown and the social distance can prevent the spread of the infection. But in the midst of all this, the biggest question is how long will the outbreak of this epidemic be less in India?
There is now a positive news about the elimination of the Coronavirus infection from India. In fact, one study claims that the cases of the Coronavirus infection in India will peak around May 15, but after that, the number of patients infected with the Coronavirus infection will start decreasing gradually. For your information, let you know that a report of a shared study by global consulting firm Activity and Times Network is prepared on the spread of the Coronavirus infection disease.
Three different methods have been used to prepare this report. The percentage-based, time-based, and suspect-based (SERI) model has been used to generate the report. Studies of the SERI model suggest that the Coronavirus infection epidemic may persist in India until August 2020. But those states where the Coronavirus infection disease is currently under control can be overcome by late May, or early June. At the same time, states where the Coronavirus infected patients are more may take more than 30 days to recover from the global epidemic Coronavirus.
Here, based on the study in the report, it has been claimed that by May 22, the number of patients infected with the Coronavirus infection in India can be more than 75 thousand. The report said that the number of positive cases of the Coronavirus infection in the country in early May could be more than 30,000, reaching 2,86,000 in the worst case scenario. Of these, about 30 percent of the patients may need to be admitted to the ICU ward for thw treatment.
Explain that the researchers have analyzed the data of the entire country with the top 8 states and top 3 hotspots in case of the infection. This study report claimed that the number of positive cases of the Coronavirus infection could be zero in only two circumstances. The first is that if the lockdowns continued until May 15 even after May 3.
If the lockdown is carried forward, the re-production rate of the Coronavirus infection will be 0.8. In this case, the number of positive cases of the Coronavirus infection can be zero till 15 September. At the same time, if the lockdown is extended to 30 May, then Coronavirus infection cases are expected to be zero by 15 June.
The report clearly states that a strict lockdown and the controlled measures are desperately needed to beat the Coronavirus infection. The report claimed that if the Coronavirus infection is to be controlled as soon as possible, the lockdown should continue after May 3, and this time, it is important to tighten the lockdown. So we request you to strictly follow the lockdown to avoid the Coronavirus infection and prevent it from spreading, only then, our country can get rid of the Coronavirus infection epidemic as soon as possible.
